The Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway this weekend, and with Kyle Busch winning at Phoenix and Fontana over the last two weeks, he has been installed as a heavy favorite for the STP 500 at»The Paperclip»—and for good reason: Rowdy hasn’t finished outside the top 5 in this track because the 2014 season, and he has led a combined 582 laps over the previous four (and 937 within the previous six). Obviously, when you have the preferred in +150 to win, that means there’s some fantastic significance in betting others in the event that guy has issues during the race.

Last weekend in Auto Club Speedway my favourite bets went 2-0, bringing my annual record to 5-3. I had Brad Keselowski to finish top 3, along with his day went south , so that was screwed from the beginning.

My Favorite Bets for Martinsville
Martin Truex, Jr.. Sirius XM Paint Scheme Martinsville 2019
Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images

Martin Truex, Jr.. Top 3 Finish (+200) — The races at Martinsville are usually predictable: we see the exact same faces up front again and again, and we do not watch Martin Truex, Jr. in victory lane. Where we do find himthough, is close enough to acquire in case something goes wrong with the leader. Over the previous 3 races at»The Paperclip,» Truex has posted finishes of 3rd, 4th, and 2nd, and even though he begins back in 8th for the STP 500, he has one hell of a race car underneath him to get into the front. The #19 Toyota ranked #1 at 10-, 15-, 20-, and 30-lap average during the final practice session here on Saturday, and there’s going to be plenty of runs during the race. Truex will shine during those. If you look at this week’s ranks by the Fantasy Racing Online algorithm, Truex is a very close 4th behind Logano, and if you take a look at current trends by pole sitters in the spring Martinsville race, I’d give that edge to Truex.

Chris Buescher (+105) over Daniel Hemric — I am really surprised Chris Buescher isn’t becoming more love this weekend. This #37 team has never finished worse than 18th because the Daytona 500, and they’ve got a good starting spot for the current STP 500 (12th). Meanwhile, Hemric will begin from back in 28th, also has a propensity to hit the wall more frequently than not. We’ve got 500 laps to race in the present STP 500, and to tell the truth, I’m not sure he ends. On the other hand, Buescher has finished 13th, 23rd, 21st, and 11th in his past four Martinsville begins, and he’s running better than he’s probably ever ran. This one is really a no brainer for me.

Martinsville Race Day Betting Odds for the STP 500
Kyle Busch 2.25/1

Martin Truex, Jr. 4.5/1

Brad Keselowski 5/1
Joey Logano 5/1
Denny Hamlin 8/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Kevin Harvick 12/1
Ryan Blaney 15/1
Aric Almirola 15/1
Chase Elliott 25/1
Kurt Busch 30/1
Jimmie Johnson 40/1
Kyle Larson 50/1
Erik Jones 60/1
Austin Dillon 80/1
Alex Bowman 80/1
Daniel Surez 80/1
Ryan Newman 80/1
Field 32/1

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